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professional blackjack Professional Gamblers and Blackjack Strategy: Shouldn't You Hit?
PROFESSIONAL GAMBLERS AND BLACKJACK STRATEGY: SHOULDN'T YOU HIT?
PROFESSIONAL GAMBLERS AT WORK : CONTENTS By Nick Alexander By Jim Taylor By Garry Baldy By Dog- Ass Johnny By Nick Alexander By Bob Jenkins By RWM By Nick Alexander By Peter A.
Griffin By Allan Pell By Arnold Snyder By Rebecca Richfield By Arnold Snyder By Raymond X.
By Arnold Snyder By Steve Forte By Nick Alexander By Arnold Snyder By Stuart Perry By By Arnold Snyder COMPUTER POWER TO THE PEOPLE!!
FROM ET FAN: PROFESSIONAL GAMBLERS AND BLACKJACK STRATEGY: SHOULDN'T YOU HIT?
By Arnold Snyder From Blackjack Forum Volume XXI 2, Summer 2001 © Blackjack Forum 2001 Four blackjack players, all of them professional gamblers, were sitting at a quarter table in a Vegas Strip casino.
I stopped to watch the game because the bets on the table were unusual.
Often, if I see a pro playing, I can tell whether the count is positive or negative by looking at his bet size.
It was a typical six-deck Strip game with all the good rules — including DAS and surrender.
I knew each of the four players, but to my knowledge, none of them knew each other.
I suspected that they had each independently chosen this table, unaware that the other players at the table were also pros.
One thing I do know about those who have been playing professionally for any length of time, however, is that their strategies, on the surface, are not easy to analyze.
That, in fact, is what has kept those with staying power in the game.
As it happened, the round I stopped to watch was one of the most unusual rounds of blackjack I would ever witness.
Every one of the four players was dealt a pair of 4s!
As it turned out, that was not the most unusual occurrence in this round.
What truly boggled my mind was the way each player played his hand.
The dealer had a deuce up.
The second player split the pair.
The third player stood.
And the fourth player surrendered!
As any neophyte basic strategy player knows, the correct way to play a pair of professional blackjack versus a deuce is to treat the this web page as a hard eight, and hit.
Yet, not only did no player hit his hand as expected, but every player played the hand differently from every other player!
I wandered away from the pit scratching my head.
Over the next few days, I contacted each of the four players to find professional blackjack why each had bet and played his respective identical hand so inexplicably.
As I suspected, none of the four did know any of the others.
As soon as Professional blackjack mentioned that I had witnessed this bizarre round with four pairs of 4s, each player immediately recalled the round, and commented on the absurd plays the others at the table had made; but every one defended his own weird play.
When all those 4s hit the felt, I was stunned, because it meant the just click for source of the slug was even richer in high cards.
But not with 4s against a deuce.
With Hi-Lo, you can double down hard eight professional blackjack 2 at a true of +13, but you need +15 to split the 4s.
Using the NRS formula, I estimated this slug was now up around +13 to +14, but not quite high enough to split, so I doubled down.
I played the hand correctly.
This was a rookie dealer and to my amazement, she flashed her hole card!
She probably trained at home and had some uncle in the pit who had juiced her into the job.
With four of us sitting there with a pair of 4s, imagine how shocked I was to see she had a 4 in the hole!
What are the odds?
With any plus 21 blackjack card games, the best play is to split your 4s against a 6 in a DAS game.
I played the hand correctly.
I had beaten that joint out of a lot of money in my last few sessions, so I was in there to slow play it, lay some cover, and feel them out for heat.
A hard eight against a deuce only has a negative expectation of about -2% if you play it correctly and hit.
I know his bust probability is actually much higher than 35%.
But with the positive count, and very few 7s, 8s, and 9s left in the shoe, I figure his bust probability is closer to 50%.
Did you see professional blackjack boss smirking when I made that play?
Of course, I acted like it was an accident, and I misread my hand as a twelve, but that idiot play bought me a lot of time in that joint.
I played the hand correctly.
I was sequencing the aces.
I had the table to myself for the previous shoe, then those jerks showed up.
The last hit card that was dealt to the jerk who split his fours was the third key card I was looking for to indicate an ace was coming.
The first two keys were 4s.
With two players and the dealer left to play out their hands, then three players in front of me on the next round, I had no hope.
Then, the imbecile to my right stands!
He uses no cards!
The dealer only busts about 35% of the time with a deuce up, so standing would cost me -65%.
Surrender, at -50%, has a higher EV than standing.
I played the hand correctly.
Blackjack, alas, is always a game of probabilities.
Virtually nothing is ever certain.
The betting and playing strategies of a traditional card counter, a shuffle tracker, a hole card player, and an ace sequencer, sitting at the same table, will make little sense to each other.
Yet, all of them are playing with an advantage, and playing correctly, given the information that each is using.
The two players who made the most inane looking plays — standing and surrendering — both had a pretty good idea what these plays cost, in dollars, based on the percentage of time the dealer will bust with a deuce up, or the depletion of professional blackjack, 8s, and 9s, or the potential value of an approaching ace.
What is the moral of this story?
Simply this: Those players who continue to play blackjack at a professional level are often invisible to the casinos because their blackjack strategies are invisible even to each other.
Everybody holland amsterdam blackjack the pit knows what a card counter's blackjack strategy looks like these days.
Your blackjack play would make perfect sense, but it would leave Arnold Snyder himself scratching his head in bewilderment.


Live Blackjack from Downtown Las Vegas! AUGUST 1ST 2018


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John Ferguson (born 1943), known by his pen name, Stanford Wong, is a gambling author best known for his book Professional Blackjack, first published in ...


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