How to Win Blackjack Every Time REVEALED
I've been going to a small local casino blackjack double hit doesn't more info blackjack win without counting pink chips on the table.
I play significantly bigger hands then most other people at the tables and I seem to walk away a winner most of the time and much more than others since I'm the only one playing basic strategy correctly.
Do you think they will kick me out?
Will they kick people out just for winning or do you have to be counting?
Unless you were betting 10k a hand.
You will have a bad swing the other way.
They wont kick you out because how will they get their money back?
They know if someone is counting.
They can look at the tape or watch you.
Also, playing perfect basic strategy is an obvious sign that you arent counting, since you lose money by playing basic strategy rather then win.
Counters play with an advantage.
As in they have a slightly higher then break even percentage.
They make decisions that are often the opposite of basic strategy.
They will double on non double hands.
Not double on double hands.
Hit on 17 or even 18.
Stay on low numbers.
Varying your bet ransomly doesnt make a difference if you dont know the count.
They know if youre varying your bet randomly or not.
Because they know what the count of the deck is.
If you are suddenly betting 8 times the minimum bet when the count is way up, after playing minimum bet for hours, youre counting.
Counters actually vary their bet slightly to throw off that learn more here technique.
Since raising your bet over minimum anytime the count isnt high is just losing money.
I fully expect the bad swings the other way and I've already had 2 sessions where I lost 600.
That said I am currently up 3.
Now when you say counters make decisions opposite of basic strategy this is because they know the count and can adjust accordingly.
This kind of goes both ways doesnt it?
I mean I think a dealer is just as likely to suspect you are superstitious.
Especially if you say things like "i bust hitting 16 every time so ill stay".
Why would they hit on hard 18 though?
That one doesnt make sense to me.
I constantly vary blackjack win without counting bet anywhere from 5 to 100 and occasionally 2-300 and I think this could provide a good cover as long as my spread is higher at better counts.
Your comment is the only decent one here.
Everyone else explains the fundamentals of counting lol.
I've been warned once when I was betting 10x the table minimum when it was slow and the pit boss saw me win like 4 or 5 hands in a row and I was asked to move to a high limits table.
She never accused me of counting but it only happened once at one casino.
I continued to sit at that table and nothing happened.
If you're counting, they'll kick you out win, lose or draw.
I don't care how small this casino is, you're not even making a blip on their join oddsmonkey blackjack strategy authoritative />To say that you're a drop of water in the ocean would be a gross over exaggeration.
You literally don't exist.
A counter can have a losing session just like a player who is playing on the square can have a winning session.
It's not like counting cards means you show up, win 50 hands in a row, and leave.
Rather, the counter earns a profit by playing long enough such that the small advantage from skill in mathematical terms, "expected value" outweighs the luck "variance".
No one is watching whether you win or lose.
They don't care about that.
It's a horrible blackjack win without counting strategy to kick out lucky squares or to not realize a counter until after he's already cleaned you out.
It's not necessarily about watching big winners, it's about watching behavior.
click at this page you consistent bet low at the beginning of the shoe, then ramp up the bets near click here end when the count is in your favor, that's a tell.
Or if you double down or split or buy insurance more often near the end of a shoe, or things like that.
Anyone can go to a casino and win big, even huge, and it won't raise suspicion.
It's about behavior analysis.
That's like finding pennies under the couch.
If you walked out of there with a few hundred thousand of their money, that's a different story, but a few thousand?
I figure it's not enough to care about.
But out of the 15 times I've gone I've only come out a loser once.
Fairly good streak of luck I've had.
This is a small local casino not a Vegas powerhouse or even Vegas off the strip.
I hope they don't care but I don't want to stop being playing.
The wins are too good.
I'm not blackjack win without counting what not having pink chips has to do with it.
OP has mentioned that multiple times and I don't see how it's relevant to the story.
This is clearly a case of OP overestimating how big his win is.
And it might be to him.
But for the casino, it's not.
It's a laughably small amount.
I don't care if this is Vegas or not.
I don't care if this is on the strip or off the strip.
I don't care if the casino building is built with cardboard boxes because they couldn't afford real bricks.
I don't care you're playing blackjack on the floor because they couldn't afford tables.
If you're counting at the High Stakes tables, however.
Before you start counting you need to get a better understanding of the numbers behind it all.
The casino doesnt give a flying fuck who is winning at that exact second.
No one has more or less then a couple percent advantage.
No players, not the casino.
Winning huge amounts is luck related.
What the casino cares about is the ling run.
If youre playing a 20 dollar table and counting using a basic method perfectly, and have a 1 percent advantage, and the odds play out exactly as intended, how much will you make at the end of the day?
Not much at all.
Counting is not like it shows in the movies.
To win you need to play big money.
And you are going to lose money almost as often as you win.
Or possibly more often.
You only have a 1 percent advantage.
Over time, the numbers even out whether you win big or lose big.
If you play 100 dollar hands though, at the end of the year or a few years you will have made a nice chunk of change assuming the numbers panned out and you didnt have any major losses.
I understand blackjack win without counting kelly criterion, but my worry is that 90% of the time I go to the casino I walk out a winner.
I win low amounts but I don't want them to see me as the kid that always walks out a winner.
Whatever you think the Kelly criterion is, it's not that.
No one mentioned Kelly betting.
It doesn't apply to anything we're talking about.
It's a lighter way of saying I know the basics of card counting and the math behind it.
Most people in this sub repeat the same basics of counting in every reply and it's pretty redundant.
But you're wrong saying it doesn't apply to anything we're talking about.
The entire blackjack win without counting of counting is the Kelly criterion.
Betting more when the odds are in your favor for optimal growth is the Kelly criterion by definition.
It 100% applies to what we are talking about.
They'll eventually see if your bet correlates with the count.
If it does, you'll get booted, and if not, you won't.
Non-counters are backed off from time to time by idiotic management, but not often.
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